Predict Football Matches describes the statistical tools and techniques that all sports bettors need to predict the win-loss-draw outcomes of soccer matches. Actual match results from Major League Soccer are modelled using the Poisson, zero-inflated Poisson, negative binomial, geometric and uniform distribution models. The model results are then analyzed to predict the outcomes of future soccer matches. As well, you will learn how to validate your prediction results using an independent margin-of-victory model. On the ebook website, you will learn how to automate the tools and techniques and to streamline the formulation of your match predictions.
This ebook is unique because each of the prediction tools and techniques are described in a step-by-step manner using over 100 spreadsheet screenshots. The statistical theory underlying each of the distribution models is explained in a clear and concise manner. The mass probability functions for each of the distribution models are also provided in the form of spreadsheet functions throughout the ebook. Using the statistical tools and techniques described in this ebook, you will gain unique insights into the performance of Major League Soccer clubs and will dramatically improve your ability to predict the outcomes of future matches next time you visit your local betting shop.
The prediction techniques in Predict Football Matches are illustrated with the aid of over 100 spreadsheet images. Due to the presence of these images, it was not possible to design the ebook using the traditional flowable text layout commonly used in romance novels. Instead, we opted to design the ebook in accordance with Amazon’s new fixed layout specification. Such layout ‘fixes’ the positioning of elements (i.e. text and images) on each page. Each of the fixed images may then be enlarged by double tapping the images on your tablet screen. The fixed layout of Predict Football Matches has been extensively tested on the Kindle Fire and Paperwhite tablets, as well as the Kindle app on the IPad. Before you commit to buying this ebook, please feel free to download the sample chapters using the “Try it Free” button on this page. The sample chapters illustrate the fixed layout of the ebook described above.